Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.190381 0.220991 0.254988 0.295556 0.342670 0.395687 0.459917
2025-04-27 0.145273 0.186895 0.238088 0.305740 0.392914 0.501636 0.647829
2025-05-04 0.120831 0.166947 0.227829 0.314211 0.433890 0.594270 0.826277
2025-05-11 0.102462 0.150007 0.216488 0.316432 0.463326 0.672059 0.992611
2025-05-18 0.087512 0.134675 0.203974 0.313490 0.482891 0.736133 1.145729
2025-05-25 0.074342 0.119599 0.189095 0.303921 0.489815 0.780588 1.273204
2025-06-01 0.067544 0.113178 0.186147 0.311745 0.523784 0.869575 1.480987
2025-06-08 0.060612 0.105442 0.179851 0.312854 0.546254 0.941833 1.669503
2025-06-15 0.055552 0.100091 0.176639 0.318394 0.576344 1.029630 1.895029
2025-06-22 0.049294 0.091771 0.167195 0.311561 0.583334 1.077350 2.053945
2025-06-29 0.044508 0.085477 0.160506 0.308705 0.596846 1.137762 2.243163
2025-07-06 0.040965 0.081044 0.156647 0.310535 0.619132 1.216600 2.477066
2025-07-13 0.039166 0.079848 0.158916 0.324834 0.668141 1.353929 2.848236
2025-07-20 0.037122 0.077922 0.159555 0.336005 0.712404 1.487554 3.230630
2025-07-27 0.035082 0.075728 0.159353 0.345325 0.753828 1.620100 3.628055
2025-08-03 0.032602 0.072286 0.156139 0.347769 0.780688 1.724897 3.978164
2025-08-10 0.029901 0.068022 0.150662 0.344532 0.794494 1.802752 4.277263
2025-08-17 0.026920 0.062767 0.142410 0.334004 0.790357 1.839830 4.485858
2025-08-24 0.025659 0.061306 0.142458 0.342612 0.831789 1.986147 4.975710
2025-08-31 0.023993 0.058690 0.139550 0.343832 0.855638 2.093801 5.384428
2025-09-07 0.022789 0.057037 0.138703 0.349927 0.892126 2.236142 5.899788
2025-09-14 0.020874 0.053403 0.132687 0.342409 0.893403 2.291429 6.195985
2025-09-21 0.019384 0.050671 0.128581 0.339267 0.905563 2.375699 6.580897